Wednesday, April 30, 2008

US Federal Reserve cuts rates to 2%

US Federal Reserve has cut a key interest rate by a quarter-point to 2%. After a two-day meeting, Fed announced its decision to cut rates down to 2%, its lowest level since late 2004.

The Federal Reserve lowered a key US interest rate by a modest quarter percentage point on Wednesday in what may be the last of a series of cuts aimed at aiding an economy hit hard by a housing slump and credit market turmoil.

The Fed's action takes the bellwether federal funds rate to 2 percent, the lowest since December 2004. It was the seventh reduction in a campaign that has brought rates down by 3.25 percentage points since mid-September.

President George W Bush on Tuesday said the U.S. economy faced a "tough time," a point underscored on Wednesday by a report that showed US gross domestic product expanded at a slim 0.6 percent annual rate in the first quarter.

While the growth rate was a bit stronger than economists had expected, it reflected a buildup in inventories that may weigh on the economy in coming months.

Other details in the report were decidedly weak.

Consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of US output, grew at the slowest pace since 2001, business investment fell and homebuilding continued to nosedive, recording the biggest drop in 26 years.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress on April 2 that "recession is possible," adding that the Fed believed there might be a "slight contraction" in the economy in the first six months of the year.

At the same time, with gasoline prices heading toward $4 dollars a gallon and strong global demand pushing up food prices, some Fed officials have worried that a desire to bolster the economy could divert the central bank's attention from inflation pressures.

In addition to rate cuts, the Fed has taken a number of emergency steps to ease credit strains that have threatened to make the economy's ills worse, pumping billions of dollars into markets to keep them from choking on mortgage-related bets.

At their meeting on Wednesday, Fed officials discussed a new measure -- paying interest on commercial bank reserves held at the central bank -- that could improve their ability to provide liquid funds to the market.

The Fed has also mulled whether expanding the size of its term auction facility cash auctions for banks and extending the duration of those loans beyond 28 days could help ease still-tight credit conditions.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Sesa Goa Bonus & Stock Split on cards

Sesa Goa spurted 3.97% to Rs 3854 at 10:02 IST on BSE after the firm announced splitting each share into ten and thereafter giving one bonus share for each share held.

The stock hit a high of Rs 3925 and a low of Rs 3776.10 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 3969 on 1 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 1630 on 7 June 2007.

The mid-cap iron ore exporter has an equity capital of Rs 39.36 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 3854 discounts its Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 500.72, by a PE multiple of 7.69.

Sesa Goa reported 216.37% surge in net profit to Rs 798.30 crore on 116.21% increase in total income to Rs 1669.97 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Sesa Goa, an iron ore mining company of the Vedanta group, has been involved in iron ore mining, beneficiation and exports besides. It is also into the manufacture of pig iron and metallurgical coke.

Fresh tariff war hits telecom stocks

Top two telecom stocks were down by 0.61% to 1.28% after these firms reduced long distance telephone calls, aiming to increase their market share in rural areas.

Shares of India’s largest listed telecom service provider by market share Bharti Airtel were down 1.28% to Rs 916. Bharti Airtel said on Monday, 28 April 2008, it had slashed long distance and roaming tariffs by 43% effective 30 April 2008. Airtel has reduced its STD rates by 43% to Rs 1.50 per minute from the earlier rate of Re 2.65 per minute. The firm has also aligned roaming rates closer to local call rates.

India’s second largest listed telecom service provider by sales Reliance Communications (RCom) was down 0.61% to Rs 581.25. RCom said on Monday it would offer unlimited national long distance calls within its network for a fixed rental with immediate effect.

The fresh tariff war by Airtel and RCom has triggered expectations of similar announcements by the competitors such Idea Cellular and the unlisted Vodafone.

India's third largest telecom service provider by sales Idea Cellular was down 0.55% to Rs 105.45.

According to reports, the 700-million strong rural market in India is the biggest single market in the world and the Indian telecom firms are rapidly expanding their footprint in the rural areas of the country.

Celestial Labs posted 222.8% surge in net profit in Q4

Celestial Labs soared 7.66% to Rs 44.25 at 10:53 IST on BSE after the company posted 222.8% surge in net profit in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 45.20 and a low of Rs 42.35 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 78.25 on 4 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 28.25 on 18 March 2008.

The small-cap bioinformatics services provider has an equity capital of Rs 11.19 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 44.25 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 9.12, by a PE multiple of 4.85.

The net profit of Celestial Labs surged 222.8% to Rs 2.55 crore on 56.3% rise in sales to Rs 4.94 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Hyderabad-based Celestial Labs operates in IT/bioinformatics, biotechnology and consultancy work.

Tata Steel plans to acquire mining assets

Tata Steel rose 3.02% to Rs 801.15 at 11:21 IST on BSE on reports the firm has teamed up with state-run MMTC to acquire mining assets abroad.

The stock hit a high of Rs 808.50 and a low of Rs 775 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 969.30 on 29 October 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 469.66 on 30 April 2007.

World’s sixth largest steel maker has an equity capital of Rs 730.58 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 801.15 discounts its Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 70.17, by a PE multiple of 11.41.

According to reports, Tata Steel and MMTC are setting up special purpose vehicle (SPV) where Tata Steel will hold 74% stake while the remaining will be held by the MMTC. The SPV will acquire mining assets abroad. The SPV will also undertake gold and diamond mining operations abroad. The boards of both the companies have already approved the proposed joint venture, the reports added.

Tata Steel’s net profit rose 0.5% to Rs 1068.58 crore on 11.3% growth in net sales to Rs 4973.92 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

Tata Steel is engaged in manufacture and distribution of steel, welded steel tubes, cold rolled strips, bearings and other related products and services.

Shiv Vani Oil & Gas Exploration Good quarterly numbers

Shiv Vani Oil & Gas Exploration Services rose 2.77% to Rs 584 at 11:46 IST on BSE after the firm reported 109.2% rise in net profit in the quarter ended March 2008 over the quarter ended March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 601 and a low of Rs 573 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 739.95 on 17 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 300 on 16 August 2007.

The mid-cap oil exploration services provider has an equity capital of Rs 43.91 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 584 discounts its March 2008 quarter annualised EPS of Rs 17.52, by a PE multiple of 33.33.

The net profit of Shiv Vani Oil & Gas Exploration Services rose 109.2% to Rs 19.23 crore on 118.4% rise in sales to Rs 137.19 crore in March 2008 quarter over March 2007 quarter. The company has changed its year ending to January-March, from September-December earlier.

Shiv Vani Oil is the largest seismic data operator in India. The company is also the largest operator of land breaks.

Finolex Cables Good Q4 result

Finolex Cables gained 0.88% to Rs 69 at 11:45 IST on BSE after posting 13.1% rise in net profit to Rs 9.99 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 71.95 and a low of Rs 68.25 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 133.50 on 4 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 58.50 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 30.59 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 69 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 2.61, by a PE multiple of 26.44.

Finolex Cables’ net sales rose 44.8% to Rs 423.21 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company manufactures and distributes a wide range of communication and electrical cables.

Phillips Carbon Black strong Q4 results

Phillips Carbon Black surged 8.46% to Rs 207.70 at 12:54 IST on BSE after the company posted 279.50% spurt in net profit to Rs 89.30 crore in FY March 2008 over FY March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 229.80 and a low of Rs 198 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 297 on 10 December 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 127.10 on 24 March 2008.

The stock witnessed solid rally ahead of its results. From recent low of Rs 156.15 on 10 April 2008, the stock advanced 22.63% to Rs 191.50 by 28 April 2008, in anticipation of strong results from the company.

The company’s current equity is Rs 25.25 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10. Promoters hold 50.17% stale in the company (as at end March 2008).

The current price of Rs 207.70 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 22.04, by a PE multiple of 9.42.

Phillips Carbon’s net sales rose 3.50% to Rs 1033.18 crore in FY March 2008 over FY March 2007. The company reported 37.20% rise in net profit to Rs 19.08 crore on 7.60% rise in net sales to Rs 274.11 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company produces carbon black, which is input for manufacturing tyres.

Bliss GVS Pharma robust earnings

Bliss GVS Pharma gained 1.26% to Rs 48.25 at 12:17 IST on BSE on reporting 477.28% surge in net profit to Rs 8.36 crore on 81.78% growth in total income to Rs 37.18 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 49 and a low of Rs 44.50 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 78.59 on 18 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 5.30 on 30 April 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 6.45 crore. Face value per share is Rs 1.

Bliss GVS Pharma’s net profit rose 730.68% to Rs 33.25 crore on 59.28% growth in total income to Rs 103.55 crore in FY 2008 over FY 2007.

The company operates in two segments, healthcare products and pharma products.

Wearology spurts on nod for sale of unit

Wearology spurted 5% to Rs 136.90 at 13:08 IST on BSE after its board approved sale of its manufacturing unit at Rabale in Navi Mumbai including land, building and plant & machinery for an undisclosed amount.

The stock hit a high of Rs 136.90 and a low of Rs 129.10 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 319.80 on 2 July 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 84.20 on 2 April 2008.

The small-cap garments exporter has an equity capital of Rs 5.20 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 136.90 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 179.35, by a PE multiple of 0.76.

The net profit of Wearology rose 18.2% to Rs 23.36 crore on 26.7% decline in sales to Rs 4.11 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Wearology is a recognised export house exporting fashion garments, bed linen fabric and industrial garments to the Middle-East, Europe, US and West Germany.

Dwarikesh Sugar good Q2 figures

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries flared up 3.71% to Rs 74.15 at 13:57 IST on BSE after the firm reported net profit of Rs 6.38 crore in Q2 March 2008 as compared to net loss of Rs 0.29 crore in Q2 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 75 and a low of Rs 72.20 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 129 on 10 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 43.20 on 24 August 2007.

The small-cap sugar manufaturer has an equity capital of Rs 16.31 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 74.15 discounts its Q2 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 15.65, by a PE multiple of 4.73.

Dwarikesh Sugar Industries reported 35.8% rise in sales to Rs 86.65 crore in Q2 March 2008 over Q2 March 2007.

Dwarikesh Sugar manufactures and sells sugar in bulk to wholesalers and agents

Indiabulls Securities a good dividend yield Stock

Indiabulls Securities advanced 5.72% to Rs 131.50 at 14:26 IST on BSE after the company’s board recommended a liberal dividend of Rs 7.50 per equity share for the year ended March 2008.

The dividend yield works out to 5.70%.

The stock hit a high of Rs 132.50 and a low of Rs 124.15 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 300 on 2 April 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 85.10 on 3 April 2008.

The Indiabulls Securities scrip was listed at Rs 300 on BSE on 2 April 2008, which is also its all time high after the securities business was spun-off from Indiabulls Financial Services. Indiabulls Financial Services issued one share of Indiabulls Securities for each share held in Indiabulls Financial Services.

The stock had touched a 52-week low of Rs 85.10 on 3 April 2008.

The mid-cap company has an equity capital of Rs 50.69 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 131.50 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 8.73, by a PE multiple of 15.06.

Indiabulls Securities is engaged in securities brokerage. The company provides wide range of services to its clients in securities brokerage including equities, commodities, wholesale debt, futures and options; depositary services; research services; insurance, IPO and mutual fund distribution.

Indiabulls Securities reported 45.70% rise in net profit to Rs 55.29 crore on 47.80% increase in total income to Rs 163.90 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company posted 81% rise in net profit to Rs 248.67 crore on 40.80% increase in total income to Rs 628.67 crore in FY March 2008 over FY March 2007.

Grasim Industries Strong Q4 results

Grasim Industries fell 1.13% to Rs 2605 at 14:34 IST on BSE even as the firm reported 40.64% rise in net profit in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 2734 and a low of Rs 2590.05 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 4074 on 29 October 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 2335 on 11 June 2007.

The large-cap diversified firm has an equity capital of Rs 91.67 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 2605 discounts its Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 241.59, by a PE multiple of 10.78.

The net profit of Grasim Industries rose 40.64% to Rs 667.37 crore on 12.10% rise in total income to Rs 2861.09 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company is engaged in manufacturing and marketing cement, fibre & pulp, sponge iron, textile, chemicals and other.

CEAT robust Q4 numbers

CEAT rose 2.84% to Rs 137.55 at 15:21 IST on BSE after the firm reported 228.62% rise in net profit in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 142 and a low of Rs 132.50 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 244 on 10 December 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 92.45 on 27 March 2008.

The small-cap automobile tyres maker has an equity capital of Rs 34.24 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 137.55 discounts its Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 22.45, by a PE multiple of 6.12.

The net profit of CEAT rose 228.62% to Rs 76.93 crore on 14.80% rise in sales to Rs 646.23 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

CEAT, previously Ceat Tyres, the flagship of the RPG group, manufactures steel-belted radials for passenger cars. The range of tyres manufactured is marketed under the Ceat, Samraat and Secura brand names.

Reliance Capital good FY 2008 numbers

Reliance Capital advanced 3.50% to Rs 1506.10 at 15:20 IST on BSE after the company reported 58.70% rise in net profit to Rs 1025.45 crore in the year ended March 2008 over the year ended March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 1520 and a low of Rs 1452 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 2,925 on 15 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 696.25 on 30 April 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 245.63 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 1506.10 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualized EPS of Rs 62.80, by a PE multiple of 23.98.

Reliance Capital's total income rose 135.30% to Rs 2079.79 crore in the year ended March 2008 (FY 2008) over the year ended March 2007. The company posted 23.90% rise in net profit to Rs 386.49 crore on 96.20% jump in total income to Rs 799.29 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company posted 23.90% rise in net profit to Rs 386.49 crore on 96.20% jump in total income to Rs 799.29 crore in Q3 March 2008 over Q3 March 2007.

Reliance Capital’s board of directors recommended a dividend of Rs 5.50 per share on equity share for the financial year ended March 2008.

Reliance Capital provides corporate advisory services like project finance, management of issues for raising capital and managing exposure to currencies and interest rates. It is also involved in custodian and depository activities, asset management, insurance, and real estate development.

BUY` on HEG (CMP: Rs 302) with a 12 months target price of Rs 444.

Networth recommended a `BUY` on HEG (CMP: Rs 302) with a 12 months target price of Rs 444. HEG, a premier company of LNJ Bhilwara Group, is the fifth largest Graphite Electrodes manufacturer in the world with an installed capacity of 60,000 MTPA. HEG is also the largest exporter of Graphite Electrodes in India with almost 80% of the production is exported over 30 countries. The net sales and EBIDTA of the company has grown at CAGR of 28% each over FY05-FY07. The analysts at Networth believe that the company is well placed to reap up the benefits of buoyant steel outlook and no near term capacity addition of Graphite Electrodes globally.

Gold slides to 3-month low on dollar rise, oil losses

30 Apr, 2008, 0210 hrs IST, REUTERS

NEW YORK/LONDON: Gold ended sharply lower after hitting a three-month bottom on Tuesday on the back of a firmer dollar, declining oil prices and weak sentiment ahead of an interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Gold often takes its cue from movements in the dollar because of its role as an alternative investment to currencies, stocks and bonds.

The outcome of the Fed meeting would set the tone for currencies and precious metals, dealers said. "Strength in the US dollar is clearly a major factor, plus we have seen a quite bit of money coming out of the StreetTRACKS exchange-traded fund.

Both these things are weighing on the market," said Dan Smith, analyst at Standard Chartered Bank. "There is some indication of consumers starting to come back in at these lower prices, but we are waiting to see how powerful that would be. I am looking for prices to recover somewhat from where we are now," he said.

Gold held in StreetTRACKS Gold Shares, the world's largest gold-backed ETF, fell more than 50 tonnes in less than a week to about 591 tonnes as of Monday. Spot gold fell as low as $868.80 an ounce, the lowest price level since Jan 22. It was at $873.55/874.75 at 2:15 p.m. EDT, against $891.65/892.65 late in New York on Monday, when it hit an intraday day high of $895.50 on speculative buying driven by record high oil.

Jonathan Jossen, independent floor trader in New York, said that gold's fundamentals remained firm in spite of a recent sell-off due to the dollar's strength. "The only thing that I can see why gold should slip is that we get deeper into a recession, and maybe that will bring commodity prices down and bring inflation down," Jossen said.

The dollar hit its highest level against the euro in nearly four weeks, on track for its largest monthly gain in nearly a year, amid expectations the Federal Reserve will signal the end of its easing campaign. The Fed will begin its two-day meeting later on Tuesday and analysts expect the policy-setting body to cut key borrowing costs by a quarter percentage point to 2.0 percent and indicate that its rate-cutting campaign is finished for now.

A firmer dollar makes gold costlier for holders of other currencies and often lowers bullion demand. The metal is also generally seen as a hedge against oil-led inflation. Oil fell more than $3 a barrel, retreating further from a record high hit on Monday. US crude futures ended down $3.12 at $115.36 a barrel.

FED DECISION AWAITED

George Gero, vice president with RBC Capital Markets Global Futures in New York, said that the Fed meeting will be closely watched. The US central bank is expected to slash rate by 25 basis points to 2 percent on Wednesday.

Gero also cited a lower open interest in the US gold futures market, larger gold delivery notices and chart-based selling below $880 an ounce for bullion's drop. Spot gold has been trading well below its lifetime high of $1,030.80 an ounce hit on March 17, with attempts to revisit the level resulted in heavy profit-taking by investors.

US gold futures for June delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange settled $18.70, or 2.1 percent, at $876.80 an ounce on Tuesday.

In industry news, Penoles, Mexico's largest producer of refined silver, declined sharply on Tuesday, falling 6 percent one day after the company posted a slight drop in first-quarter net profit.

Silver fell to $16.48/16.57 from $16.96/17.02 an ounce late in New York on Monday. Other precious metals also fell, with spot platinum dropped sharply to $1,909.50/1,929.50 an ounce from $1,964.50/1,974.50, while palladium dropped to $419/427 an ounce from $432.50/438.50 in the US market late on Monday.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Holiday for me for next 4-5 days

Hi Friends ,

My son is appearing for AIEEE exam on 27th April'08, At CHENNAI. I have to Accompany him. Iam Taking Holidays till 30th April-08.

Kindly Spare with me.

Yours

G.V

BNK CAPITAL MARKET @40/- --Multi Bagger!!!

In our Forum Mr.Amit Given an excellent research on BNK CAPITAL MARKET, recommended to buy @ Rs:40/- it becomes a Multi Bagger in Short time.

Buy BNK capital market ltd it holds 3005419 shares of CESC ltd

( thirty lakh five thousand four hundred and nineteen shares) worth 140 crore the current

market cap of bnk capital market is just 20 crore and the value of holding/investment is 140

crore it means bnk is available just for free........ one should not miss this chance bcoz there are

only 24 lakh share in the market so definitely operator's are going to ride this horse for big

target. rest is your call i see a huge up side in this stock.

you can see below

the share holding pattern of cesc ltd and at no 3 you will see the name

of bnk capital market ltd and it's holding . i am always with proof.....no bakwas

CESC Ltd (copy from bseindia.com)

Scrip Code 500084

Quarter March 2008

Statement showing Shareholding of persons belonging to the category
"Public" and holding more than 1% of the total number of shares

Sr. No.

Name of the shareholder

No. of shares

Shares as a % of total number of shares

1

Life Insurance Corporation of India

4798408

3.84

2

Goldman Sachs Investments Mauritius Ltd

5072422

4.06

3

BNK Capital Markets Ltd

3005917

2.41

4

Matthews India Fund

2006117

1.61

5

CLSA (Mauritius) Ltd

2034484

1.63

6

Citigroup Global Markets Mauritius Pvt Ltd

1783404

1.43

7

FID Funds Mauritius Ltd

2406632

1.93

8

Fidelity Investment Funds Global Special Situations Fund

3494668

2.8

Total

24602052

19.69

===========
Thank You Amit Thanks alot for your research.


Take care of your Investments Guys. No one Gives you Guarantee.


Buy Visa Steel; target Rs 85 - pinc research

PINC puts buy on Visa Steel; target Rs 85
24 Apr, 2008, 1324 hrs IST, INDIATIMES NEWS NETWORK

PINC Research has reiterated ‘buy’ on Visa Steel for a one year target price of Rs 85. The company currently manufactures pig iron, coke and ferro chrome with capacities of 225k, 400k and 50k respectively.

Visa Steel has production facilities in Kalinganagar and Golagaon in Orissa. Its capacities include 225k tpa of pig iron, 400k tpa of coke and a 50k tpa ferro chrome unit. Currently, MBF is under a maintainence shutdown for relining and should be operational by Jun’08.

The company is setting up a 500K tpa fully integrated special & stainless steel plant at an outlay of Rs 1,150 crore. This will be funded through debt of Rs 750 crore, IPO proceeds of Rs 200 crore and internal accruals.

The above capital expenditure also envisages setting up a 300k tpa sponge iron facility and 75 MW (3*25) waste heat recovery power plants. The sponge iron and 50MW facility is expected to be commissioned in April-June 2008-09, while the last 25MW will be commissioned in 2009-10.
Visa Steel has been allotted a coal block in Patrapara (Talcher, Orissa) and is in process of being allotted a captive iron ore mine. While its chrome ore requirement would be met by Ghotringa Minerals (89% subsidiary), its coking coal needs will be met through long term contracts with Millennium Coal, Australia.

At the market price of Rs 48, the stock trades at a P/E of 2.8x and EV/EBITDA of 3x 2009-10 estimated earnings of Rs 16.9. PINC believes these valuations do not factor in a buoyant pricing environment for ferro alloys and coke. Moreover, the upcoming captive linkage for raw materials will improve operational efficiencies. Also, the special and stainless steel plant will provide a new dimension to the business model.

Gold, silver prices tumble on lower global advices

24 Apr, 2008, 1920 hrs IST, PTI

Both the precious metals, gold and silver, tumbled on the bullion market on lack of demand at higher levels coupled with stockists' offerings due to fall in overseas markets.

Standard gold (99.5 purity) fell by Rs 155 per 10 grams to Rs 11,730 from Rs 11,885 previously.

Pure gold (99.9 purity) also finished lower by a similar margin to Rs 11,785 from Rs 11,940.

Silver ready (.999 fineness) slipped by Rs 520 per kilo to Rs 23,175 from Rs 23,695.

Precious metals complex suffered significant losses in New york on Wednesday as the US dollar gained and oil prices fell from record highs, a trader said.

The June gold fell by USD 16.20 to USD 909 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Nymex June crude oil was down 17 cents at USD 117.90 a barrel.

Gold investors have also been disappointed by a large physical offtake out of the world's largest gold exchange traded fund, a dealer added.

Comex July silver declined by 54.8 cents to settle at USD 17.276 an ounce.

Gold prices in Hong Kong ended lower at USD 898.30/ 899.00 per ounce as against USD 919.80/920.50 per ounce previously.

Nicholas Piramal Healthy Q4 numbers

Nicholas Piramal India surged 3.29% to Rs 341 at 15:08 IST on BSE after reporting 317.16% rise in net profit to Rs 112.3 crore on 33.51% growth in net sales to Rs 516.98 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 347 and a low of Rs 335 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 383 on 19 December 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 231.25 on 21 August 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 41.80 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 341 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 14.13, by a PE multiple of 24.13.

Nicholas Piramal India’s net profit rose 60.12% to Rs 301.48 crore on 18.18% growth in total income to Rs 1,938.07 crore on FY 2008 over FY 2007.

On 15 April 2008, Nicholas Piramal signed an agreement with Khandelwal Laboratories for the purchase of its anti-spasmodic Anafortan and antibiotic CEFI brands for a total consideration of Rs 116 crore.

In January 2008, the company acquired pharmaceuticals business of Healthline, Bangalore for a consideration of Rs 15 crore.

Nicholas Piramal India is one among the top ten pharmaceutical contract-manufacturing firms in the world.

Bajaj Steel's Strong Q4 result

Bajaj Steel Industries rose 2.94% to Rs 162.95 at 13:37 IST on BSE after posting 1229.14% surge in net profit to Rs 3.15 crore on 14.16% fall in total income to Rs 34.75 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 165 and a low of Rs 153.15 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 234.25 on 8 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 43 on 6 August 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 2.20 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 162.95 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 38.36, by a PE multiple of 4.25.

Bajaj Steel Industries’ net profit rose 177.24% to Rs 7.06 crore on 7.42% growth in net sales to Rs 189.48 crore in FY 2008 over FY 2007.

The company is engaged in manufacturing machines. It manufactures machines for preparing textile fabrics, cotton ginning machines and plastic articles for packing of goods.

Polaris Software defers buyback

Polaris Software Lab declined 5.89% to Rs 101.55 at 10:59 IST on BSE after the company said on Wednesday, 23 April 2008, its board has deferred a decision on buy back of equity shares.

The stock hit a high of Rs 104.80 and a low of Rs 98.50 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 200.70 on 24 April 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 63.60 on 22 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 49.33 crore. Face value per share is Rs 5.

The current price of Rs 101.55 discounts its Q4 March 2008 EPS of Rs 5.49, by a PE multiple of 18.50.

The Polaris Software board considered a buy-back proposal where members of the board drew attention to the real estate investments made by the company and suggested that the best option to maximize shareholder value from these investment should also be explored. Further, the board of Polaris Software Lab has appointed a committee to give recommendations to take a decision in this regard at its next meeting.

In March 2008, Polaris Software Lab’s wholly owned subsidiary Polaris Retail Infotech launched Smart Store, a retail software product for small retail businesses.

In February 2008, the company entered into a strategic partnership with City Networks, to provide ongoing product development and support services to City Networks.

Polaris Software Lab’s net profit rose 0.59% to Rs 13.54 crore on 0.03% growth in net sales to Rs 239.37 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q3 December 2007.

Polaris Software Lab delivers customized software solutions and products in the domain of banking, financial services and insurance (BFSI).

Harita Seating Systems strong Q4 numbers

Harita Seating Systems was locked at upper limit of 5% at Rs 79.30 at 10:38 IST on BSE after the company reported 72% rise in net profit in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 150.75 on 16 November 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 55.05 on 24 March 2008.

The small-cap automobile seats maker current equity is Rs 7.77 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 79.30 discounts its Q4 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 14.52, by a PE multiple of 5.46.

The net profit of Harita Seating Systems rose 72% to Rs 2.82 crore on 29.9% rise in sales to Rs 54.34 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company manufactures automobile seats for cars, jeeps and trucks.

Koutons Retail India Azim Premji (WIPRO) picked up 2% stake

Koutons Retail India inched up 0.74% to Rs 794 at 10:08 IST on BSE on reports Azim Premji, chairman and majority owner of Wipro, has picked up 2% stake in the company for Rs 20 crore.

The stock hit a high of Rs 826 and a low of Rs 792.20 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 1098 on 3 March 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 515 on 12 October 2007.

The mid-cap apparel retail company has an equity capital of Rs 30.55 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 794 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 49.71, by a PE multiple of 15.97.

According to reports, Premji picked up about 3 lakh shares of Koutons from the secondary market, through his private equity fund PremjiInvest.

The news report quoted Ajay Mahajan, chief financial officer of Koutons Retail who confirmed the stake purchase by Premji.

Koutons Retail reported a net profit of Rs 12.20 crore on sales of Rs 173.10 crore in Q3 December 2007.

Koutons Retail India (Koutons) designs, manufactures and retails apparels. Its products are market under the 'Kouton' and `Charlie Outlaw' brands through its exclusive brand outlets (EBOs) across India.

Concor good Q4 numbers

Container Corporation of India gained 0.81% to Rs 914.95 at 10:01 IST on BSE after posting 19.9% rise in net profit to Rs 202.98 on 11.8% growth in net sales to Rs 903.59 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 917.50 and a low of Rs 910 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 1222 on 27 June 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 765 on 30 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 129.98 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 914.95 discounts its Q4 March 2008 EPS of Rs 124.93, by a PE multiple of 7.32.

Container Corporation of India (Concor)'s net profit rose 7.57% to Rs 757.09 crore on 11.40% growth in total income to Rs 3500.20 crore in FY 2008 over FY 2007

In February 2008, Concor entered into a joint venture agreement with Allcargo Global Logistics to set up a container freight station and inland container depot in UP.

In January 2008, the company recommended issue of 1:1 bonus shares. The stock recently turned ex-bonus.

Concor, a central government public sector undertaking under Ministry of Railways, is primarily engaged in container rail transportation business, inland container depot (ICD) operations, warehousing and road transportation. Concor also provides transit warehousing for Exim (export and import) cargo, bonded warehousing and provides air cargo facilities.

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

There's money to be made in these uncertain times

24 Apr, 2008, 0158 hrs IST,Parag Parikh,

Markets by nature are uncertain. The current news headlines make them appear even more uncertain. In these uncertain times, there are heads-I-win-tails-you-lose opportunities available. One of these opportunities is given below.

Let us say you invested Rs 5 lakh in a Nifty index fund. The Nifty is currently trading around 5,000-levels. Assume you did not see the stock prices for 3.25 years and opened you newspaper to check the prices only on July 1, 2011.

The portfolio value you would expect would depend on the Nifty level then prevailing. If the Nifty closed at 3,500 on June 30, 2011; you would expect your portfolio to be worth Rs 3.5 lakh. On the other hand if the Nifty closed at 8,000, your portfolio should be worth Rs 8 lakh.

An alternative to the above strategy is available in the markets, where the downside is completely eliminated and the full (and sometimes more than the full) upside is captured. As I write the Nifty is trading above 5,000-levels and the Nifty call options with expiry of June 30, 2011 have sellers at 1,100.

Say you wish to invest Rs 5 lakh. Do the following two transactions:

Buy 100 call options at a price of Rs 1,140 per option. Total cost would be Rs 1,10,000. Invest the balance amount in a bank FD with a 9% interest rate till June 30, 2011 that would amount to Rs 3,90,000. The total reads Rs 5,00,000.

On July 1, 2011, the money kept in bank FD would have grown to approx Rs 5,20,800 (assuming quarterly compounding). The call option will give the full upside on Rs 5 lakh worth of equity. Thus if the Nifty were to close at 3,500, you would have a portfolio value of Rs 5,20,800. On the other hand if the Nifty closes at 8,000, your portfolio would be worth Rs 8,20,800. A guaranteed outperformance over the Nifty!!!

So where is the catch? There is no catch other than taxes. If the markets were to go up, long-term capital gains in equity would be tax free, where as long-term gains in equity options may not be. Further bank interest would be subject to taxation. One could invest in fixed maturity plan mutual funds instead of bank FDs to save on tax, but the rate of return would vary slightly.

A question may arise as to why these opportunities are available in the market. The reason is that market participants have very short memories and tend to extrapolate recent events far into the future. Just as demand for earthquake insurance goes up immediately after an earthquake, currently there is huge demand for put options (implied volatility of 40%-50% for the academically inclined). In such a scenario, call options are being sold at ridiculously low levels (implied volatility of 0% !!!).

So for someone who is not bothered about paying taxes on the gains, this strategy would be heads I win, tails you lose.

(The author is chairman, Parag Parikh Financial Advisory Services)

Source: Economictimes

IPL sponsors become hot-ticket stocks

There is no denying that cricket as a sport in India sets the cash registers ringing. Anticipating a similar rub-off effect on corporates, equity analysts have begun advising investors to buy shares of companies that are sponsoring the Indian Premier League (IPL).

According to analysts, companies like India Cements, GMR Infrastructure and United Breweries are likely to make good money out of the Twenty20 extravaganza. According to analysts, India Cements is one of the best picks as far as profits from IPL goes. “The company is likely to earn a turnover of Rs 3 billion from IPL in the next three-four years,” an analyst said.

Shares of India Cements ended 4.6% lower at Rs 184 on Wednesday. The stock is up nearly 4% over the past one week. United Breweries closed 0.7% higher at Rs 192 while GMR Infrastructure ended a tad lower at Rs 161 on the BSE. Both United Breweries and GMR Infrastructure have appreciated in the range of 7.5 to 8% over the past one week.

Steel stocks melt on steel makers' assurance to hold price line

Six steel stocks were down between 1.26% to 4.45% at 10:50 IST on BSE on reports Steel Authority India and Tata Steel said have decided to hold steel prices for at least a few months.

Steel Authority of India (down 4.45% to Rs 175.20), Shree Precoated Steel (down 4.23% to Rs 202.50), JSW Steel (down 3.05% to Rs 850.10), Jindal Steel (down 2.92% to Rs 2,189), Tata Steel (down 2.55% to Rs 761) and Bhushan Steel (down 1.26% to Rs 812) edged lower.

Reportedly, JSW Steel on Monday 21 April 2008 had made a similar announcement. The decision is expected to please the government which has been trying hard to rein in surging prices of the metal in a broader objective to check inflation. Inflation had surged to a three-year high in late March 2008.

Tata Steel and Steel Authority of India (SAIL) announced their plans not to increase steel prices for next two-three months shortly after prime minister Manmohan Singh visited their plants and advised them to hold prices. Earlier, finance minister P Chidambaram had charged the steel producers with ‘cartel-like behaviour’ in the Parliament.

Pharma stocks down on regulator's action to check prices

Four pharma stocks were down between 0.27% to 3.3% on reports the drug price regulator will initiate prosecution proceedings against five pharmaceutical companies for selling select brands without getting their prices approved by the regulator.

Wockhardt (down 0.27% to Rs 301.05), Lupin (down 0.77% to Rs 538), Cadilla Healthcare (down 1.04% to Rs 270.60) and Alembic (down 3.3% to Rs 58.60) edged lower.

Reportedly, the companies, which would face legal action for allegedly selling 39 specified pack sizes of different medicines without getting prior price approvals, are Alembic, Cadilla Healthcare, Wockhardt, Lupin and Medley Pharmaceuticals.

While the largest number of cases are registered against Cadilla Healthcare for flouting prices in about 30 products, Wockhardt and Lupin face regulatory action for one case each. The National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) has asked Cadilla Healthcare to pay the amount it allegedly overcharged from consumers in case of about 25 other products as well.

The regulator is also examining close to 30 other cases of overcharging, where companies may be asked to pay back the excess amount collected from consumers. In case of non-compliance, those companies may also face prosecution proceedings.

NPPA’s tough action comes days ahead of a crucial meeting of ministers on 30 April 2008 to finalise how drug prices should be controlled in future.

Tata Steel reverses course as Corus plans price hike

Tata Steel rose 1.93% to Rs 794 at 15:24 IST on BSE after Anglo-Dutch steelmaker Corus, owned by Tata Steel, announced price increases for reversing mill plate and structural sections.

The stock hit a high of Rs 804 and a low of Rs 757 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 969.80 on 29 October 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 469.66 on 30 April 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 730.58 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 794 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 70.17, by a PE multiple of 11.31.

The announcement is a stark contrast to Tata Steel’s earlier announcement of holding the domestic steel prices. Reportedly, Corus will be increasing basis prices for reversing mill plate by £60 per tonne effective to all dispatches from 1 June 2008. It will also be raising basis prices for structural sections by £80 per tonne, which will apply to all structural sections despatched from 29 June 2008. It also added global demand for reversing mill plate and structural sections continues to be strong.

Corus also asid steel manufacturers continue to incur significantly higher costs for raw materials and energy. It further added that the price increases are a direct consequence of high global demand for steel driving dramatic increases in the cost of raw materials.

Earlier in the day, shares of Tata Steel and other steel makers had declined on reports of Steel Authority India and Tata Steel deciding to hold domestic steel prices for at least a few months. Tata Steel and Steel Authority of India (SAIL) announced their plans not to increase domestic steel prices for next two-three months shortly after prime minister Manmohan Singh visited their plants and advised them to hold prices. Earlier, finance minister P Chidambaram had charged the steel producers with ‘cartel-like behaviour’ in the Parliament.

Tata Steel’s net profit rose 0.5% to Rs 1068.58 crore on 11.3% growth in net sales to Rs 4973.92 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

Tata Steel is engaged in manufacture and distribution of steel, welded steel tubes, cold rolled strips, bearings and other related products and services.

CRISIL strong Q1 numbers

CRISIL spurted 8.31% to Rs 3523 at 15:30 IST on BSE after posting 74% surge in consolidated net profit to Rs 31.48 crore in Q1 March 2008 over Q1 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 3547 and a low of Rs 3262.65 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 4275 on 23 July 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 2651 on 22 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 7.23 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 3523 discounts its Q4 December 2007 EPS of Rs 152.14, by a PE multiple of 23.16.

CRISIL’s net sales rose 30.68% to Rs 116.74 in Q1 March 2008 over Q1 March 2007, on consolidated basis.

In February 2008, CRISIL said it plans to set up a credit information company in India by joining hands with Equifax Inc., USA, and Tata Capital.

India's largest rating agency by revenue, CRISIL provides rating, advisory and research & information services.

Kirloskar Brothers good Q4 results

Kirloskar Brothers surged 4.51% to Rs 289.90 at 14:30 IST on BSE after posting 43.4% rise in net profit to Rs 52.66 in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 289.90 and a low of Rs 280.50 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 527 on 3 October 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 206.40 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 21.15 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 289.90 discounts its Q4 March 2008 EPS of Rs 19.92, by a PE multiple of 14.55.

Kirloskar Brothers’ net sales rose 26.9% to Rs 569.01 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

On 15 April 2008, Kirloskar Brother received a letter of intent for an order worth Rs 166.77 crore from Damodar Valley Corporation - Kolkata in respect of Koderma thermal power project.

On 1 April 2008, the company received a letter of intent for an order worth Rs 338.92 crore from the Government of Andhra Pradesh, Irrigation & CAD Department in respect of Rajiv Sagar Lift Irrigation project.

The company is engaged in manufacturing and selling pumps and compressors. Products of the group include power driven pumps, valves, anti corrosion products, electric motors, spares and others. The group operates in three segments, namely, pump, compressors and others.

Bajaj Hindustan Robust Q2 numbers

Bajaj Hindustan gained 1.05% to Rs 235.25 at 14:11 IST on BSE after posting 1075.68% surge in net profit to Rs 43.03 crore in Q2 March 2008 over Q2 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 245.70 and a low of Rs 233.40 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 399.50 on 9 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 115.55 on 22 August 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 14.14 crore. Face value per share is Rs 1.

The current price of Rs 235.25 discounts its Q1 December 2007 EPS of Rs 8.39, by a PE multiple of 28.04.

Bajaj Hindustan’s total income fell 5.25% to Rs 500.04 crore in Q2 March 2008 over Q2 March 2007.

Bajaj Hindusthan (BHL), a part of the 'Bajaj Group', is India's number one sugar and ethanol manufacturing company, headquartered at Mumbai (Maharashtra), India. The company has ten sugar plants, which are all located in the northern Indian state of Uttar Pradesh (UP).

Surana Telecom rings on nod for share buyback

Surana Telecom & Power rose 1.07% to Rs 37.75 at 12:30 IST on BSE after its board approved buyback of shares at a price not exceeding Rs 50 and for an amount not exceeding Rs 6 crore.

The stock hit a high of Rs 39.25 and a low of Rs 35.70 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 52.50 on 1 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 20.75 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 11.3 crore. Face value per share is Rs 5.

The current price of Rs 37.75 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 4.11, by a PE multiple of 9.18.

The number of shares to be bought back shall not be more than 18 lakh equity shares.

Surana Telecom & Power' s net profit declined 7.9% to Rs 2.32 crore on 26.5% fall in net sales to Rs 15.37 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

The company is engaged in manufacturing heat-shrinkable jointing kits, cable splicing/filling compounds, jelly filled telecommunication cables, wire connectors, end caps, modular connectors and high-density polyethylene (HDPE) pipe.

Bhagyanagar India tumbles on deferring share buyback plan

Bhagyanagar India declined 7.81% to Rs 42.50 at 10:26 IST on BSE after its board deferred proposal to buyback shares of the company.

The stock hit a high of Rs 45.60 and a low of Rs 42.20 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 79.50 on 2 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 35 on 17 October 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 14.9 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 42.50 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 5.04, by a PE multiple of 8.43.

Bhagyanagar India’s net profit rose 36.3% to Rs 9.38 crore on 36.8% growth to Rs 64.76 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

Bhagyanagar India is a part of the Surana group, is engaged in the business of metals, cables, compounds, real estate and wind power

Exide Industries Strong Q4 result

Exide Industries surged 6.94% to Rs 81.70 at 9:55 IST on BSE after posting 63.1% rise in net profit to Rs 62.82 crore on 49.4% growth in total income to Rs 796.36 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 81.70 and a low of Rs 78 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 90.90 on 14 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 40.42 on 11 May 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 80 crore. Face value per share is Rs 1.

The current price of Rs 81.70 discounts its Q4 March 2008 EPS of Rs 3.14, by a PE multiple of 26.02.

Exide Industries’ net profit surged 61.28% to Rs 250.33 crore on 51.69% growth in total income to Rs 2,851.38 crore in FY 2008 over FY 2007.

Exide Industries is engaged in manufacturing and selling storage batteries. It manufactures lead acid storage batteries used for starting piston engines and other lead acid accumulators.

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Rally enters sixth day, but seen running out of steam

Rally enters sixth day, but seen running out of steam
23 Apr, 2008, 0432 hrs IST,Apurv Gupta, TNN

Equity benchmarks extended their gains to the sixth consecutive session on Tuesday, but the rally appeared to be running out of steam. With quarterly corporate earnings broadly falling short of consensus estimates, market watchers expect institutional buying interest to wane, pushing the indices back into a narrow trading range.

The 30-share Sensex closed at 16,783.87, a gain of 44.54 points, or 0.3%, over the previous close. The barometer fell to an intra-day low of 16,597.53, but recovered on the back of a similar trend in key Asian markets. European markets, which opened after the close of trading in India, were firm in early trades.

China, Hong Kong and Singapore closed with small gains, after having started on a sluggish note due to disappointing numbers from Bank of America. With Tuesday’s gains, the Sensex has gained nearly 1,000 points in the last six sessions. But in the absence of any positive trigger, players feel the bulls could be on the back foot in the short term.

The 50-share Nifty rose 12.30 points, or 0.2%, to close at 5,049.30. IT stocks fell out of favour following lacklustre quarterly numbers from TCS announced late evening on Monday. TCS itself bore the brunt, shedding 11% over its previous close, while other stalwarts like Wipro and Infosys too were down 5% each.

Buyers, however, continued to place their faith in infrastructure, cement, banking and real estate shares. Among Sensex stocks, BHEL, Jaiprakash Associates, DLF and HDFC were among the best performers.

The immediate near term trigger for the market is the expiry of the current month derivative contracts. According to Ankur Agarwala of IDBI Capital, the Nifty is expected to see an expiry of above 5,100. “The rally post expiry is expected to continue till 5,280,” he says.

“We could see lot of stock specific action due to various factors in play like inflation, RBI policy, crude oil prices among others. There is bullish trend in stocks like ONGC, SBI, RIL, RPL and NTPC,” he adds.On the downside, he expects 4,880 to be a strong support level for the Nifty.

Greaves Cotton, BUY

Greaves Cotton, BUY

Attractive valuation

Price Rs230 Target Price Rs442

Greaves Cotton Limited (GCL) reported results broadly in-line with our

expectations. Though the infrastructure equipment division reported robust

growth, engines segment reported subdued numbers. We believe the key trigger

for the stock going ahead will be the success of the twin engine cylinder that the

company has launched. We maintain BUY with target price of Rs.442

MK, 22nd April, 2008

GVK Power & Infrastructure Robust Q4 result

GVK Power & Infrastructure rose 0.22% to Rs 44.90 at 15:16 IST on BSE on posting 511.78% rise in net profit to Rs 90.85 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 53.55 and a low of Rs 44.65 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 93.50 on 6 December 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 31.50 on 26 April 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 140.58 crore. Face value per share is Rs 1.

The current price of Rs 44.90 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 1.01 by a PE multiple of 44.45.

GVK Power & Infrastructure reported 173.34% rise in total income to Rs 117.32 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

GVK Power & Infrastructure had recently split its shares from the Rs 10 per share to Re 1 per share.

The company's principal activity is to operate power plants.

UltraTech Cement good Q4 numbers

Ultratech Cement jumped 5.81% to Rs 817.90 at 14:48 IST on BSE on posting 22.17% rise in net profit to Rs 282.88 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 808 and a low of Rs 770 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 1,165 on 15 October 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 731 on 22 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 124.49 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 817.90 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 89.80, by a PE multiple of 9.1.

The company reported 9.6% rise in total income to Rs 1,628.69 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company is engaged in manufacturing and marketing clinker and cement in India. The group exports to the Middle East and Sri Lanka. It also exports in small quantities to Bangladesh and some European nations.

Binani Cement expansion plans

Binani Cement surged 6.44% to Rs 86.75 at 14:14 IST on BSE on reports the company would invest about to Rs 2000 crore by 2012 for expansion of capacities both in India and overseas.

The stock hit a high of Rs 89.50 and a low of Rs 82.65 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 130 on 16 October 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 58.75 on 22 June 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 203.10 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 86.75 discounts its Q4 March 2008 EPS of Rs 12.63, by a PE multiple of 6.87.

As per recent reports, this expansion includes setting up of one million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of grinding unit in Bharuch, two MTPA green field project in coastal Gujarat, doubling the cement capacities in China and Dubai and acquiring coal mines in Indonesia. A mix of debt and equity would fund the investment, reports added.

Binani Cement’s net profit rose 151.8% to Rs 64.13 on 80.3% growth in net sales to Rs 336 in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The company is engaged in manufacturing and marketing cement and non-ferrous metal. The group operates in three segments: cement, zinc and by-products and glass fibre.

Surana Telecom gains ahead of board meet on buyback

Surana Telecom rose 4.07% to Rs 38.40 at 13:37 IST on BSE ahead of its board meeting today to consider the proposal of buy back of equity shares.

The stock hit a high of Rs 39.50 and a low of Rs 37 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 52.50 on 1 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 20.75 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 11.3 crore. Face value per share is Rs 5.

The current price of Rs 38.40 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 4.11, by a PE multiple of 9.34.

Surana Telecom’ & Power' s net profit declined 7.9% to Rs 2.32 crore on 26.5% fall in net sales to Rs 15.37 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

The company is engaged in manufacturing heat-shrinkable jointing kits, cable splicing/filling compounds, jelly filled telecommunication cables, wire connectors, end caps, modular connectors and high-density polyethylene (HDPE) pipe.

PSL wins Large order

PSL gained 2.14% to Rs 313 at 13:04 IST on BSE after the company said it has secured two orders worth Rs 1,225 crore from Larsen & Toubro and HPCL-Mittal for laying pipelines.

The stock hit a high of Rs 321 and a low of Rs 309 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 588 on 31 December 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 204.60 on 24 April 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 42.17 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 313 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 28.37, by a PE multiple of 11.03.

One of the two orders is valued at Rs 917 crore received from HPCL-Mittal for supplying steel pipes for the Mundra Bhatinda crude oil line. The other order is valued at Rs 308 crore secured from Larsen & Toubro (L&T) for water transport.

PSL’s net profit rose 45.1% to Rs 30.19 crore on 32.1% growth in net sales to Rs 659.05 in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

PSL manufactures pipes to meet requirements from all sectors, including oil and gas. Its mills are equipped with internal and external pipe-coating facilities to meet technical requirement of the oil, gas and water sectors in conformity with international specification. It has facilities at Kandla and Ahmedabad in Gujarat, Chennai in Tamil Nadu, and Visakhapatanam in Andhra Pradesh.

Escorts good Q2 numbers

Escorts rose 5.3% to Rs 104.40 at 11:30 IST on BSE on reporting 44.3% rise in net profit to Rs 9.68 crore in Q2 March 2008 over Q2 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 106.90 and a low of Rs 97.55 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 174 on 3 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 72.70 on 23 August 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 84.44 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 104.40 discounts its Q2 March 2008 annualised EPS of Rs 4.59, by a PE multiple of 22.74.

Escorts reported 7.4% decline in sales to Rs 531.47 crore in Q2 March 2008 over Q2 March 2007

The company is engaged in manufacturing agri-machinery, telecommunications, healthcare, construction and material handling equipment, automotive and railway ancillaries. It also provides information technology and financial services.

TCS disappointing Q4 results

TCS slumped 7.11% to Rs 922 at 10:45 IST on BSE after the company reported 5.95% fall in net profit to Rs 1108.81 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q3 December 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 980 and a low of Rs 912.35 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 1299.50 on 4 May 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 730 on 22 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 97.86 crore. Face value per share is Re 1.

The current price of Rs 922 discounts its Q4 March 2008 annualized EPS of Rs 45.32, by a PE multiple of 20.34.

TCS posted 2.23% rise in net sales to Rs 4942.49 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q3 December 2007.

TCS reported 7% growth in net profit as per US GAAP at Rs 1256 crore on 18.4% growth in revenue at Rs 6095 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007. The company’s management sounded positive on growth prospects despite worries that a weak US economy would hurt outsourcing deals.

The company said the deal pipeline is encouraging and client ramp-ups have started happening

Meanwhile, some of the prominent brokerages have downgraded the stock after the disappointing results. Morgan Stanley has downgraded its rating on TCS to equal-weight from overweight. Similarly, Lehman Brothers Inc. has also cut its share price estimate for the Tata Consultancy Services stock to Rs 1,161 from Rs 1,286 earlier.

On 1 April 2008, TCS signed a five-year, multi-million dollar contract with auto components maker ArvinMeritor Inc.

The company provides IT and business process outsourcing services. The group provides services to industries such as banking and financial services, insurance, manufacturing, telecommunications, retail and transportation.

Biocon Liberal bonus

Biocon rose 4.91% to Rs 529.65 at 10:45 IST on BSE after its board recommended bonus issue in the ratio of 1:1.

It also announced its Q4 results today.

The stock hit a high of Rs 551.50 and a low of Rs 494.85 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 663.30 on 15 November 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 345 on 22 January 2008.

From its recent low of Rs 429.10 on 8 April 2008 stock rose 17.65% to Rs 504.85 on 21 April 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 50 crore. Face value per share is Rs 5.

The current price of Rs 529.65 discounts its Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 113.61, by a PE multiple of 4.66.

The company’s net profit rose 31.19% to Rs 62.03 crore on 1.96% decline in total income to Rs 236.71 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

Biocon is India's leading biotechnology enterprise. Over the past 28 years, it has evolved from an enzyme manufacturing company to a fully integrated biopharmaceutical enterprise, focused on healthcare.

Geometric hardens after property sale

Geometric gained 1.62% to Rs 65.70 at 10:32 IST on BSE after the company said it has sold one of its properties located in Pune, for Rs 29.50 crore.

The stock hit a high of Rs 67.45 and a low of Rs 65.05 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 133 on 22 May 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 42 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 12.42 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 65.70 discounts its Q4 March 2008 EPS of Rs 3.75, by a PE multiple of 17.52.

Geometric’s net profit rose 290.60% to Rs 5.82 crore on 3.95% growth in net sales to Rs 45.76 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q3 December 2007.

The company's principal activity is to provide innovative software services and products.

Monday, April 21, 2008

Smooth sailing for SCI on bonus buzz

Shipping Corporation of India rose 9.75% to Rs 242.35 at 15:17 IST on BSE on reports the company may consider a bonus issue in the near future.

The stock hit a high of Rs 248 and a low of Rs 227 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 332 on 3 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 154 on 22 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 282.3 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 242.35 discounts Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 25.05 by a PE multiple of 9.67.

Shipping Corporation of India (SCI)’s net profit declined 22% to Rs 176.78 on 11.5% fall in net sales to Rs 915.27 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

Reports claimed bonus proposal could be linked with the proposal of Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) seeking ‘Navratna’ status, which is likely to be taken up over the next few days. Navratna status would provide SCI with greater autonomy in financial and operational decisions, while allowing it to set up joint ventures internationally relatively faster. SCI, had surplus and reserves of Rs 4,817.14 crore as on 31 March 2007 reports added.

SCI, a state-run shipping company, operates and manages a fleet of line vessels, tankers, bulk carriers, passenger vessels and off shore vessels.

Axis Bank Strong Q4 result

Axis Bank rose 5% to Rs 866 at 14:36 IST on BSE after bank’s net profit rose 70.56% to Rs 361.4 crore on 56.57% rise in total income to Rs 2571.9 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 868.70 and a low of Rs 799 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 1,291 on 15 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 438.60 on 30 April 2007.

The bank's current equity is Rs 357.71 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 866 discounts Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 34.34 by a PE multiple of 25.21.

The bank’s net profit rose 62.51% to Rs 1071.03 crore on 60.84% rise in total income to Rs 8800.8 crore in FY 2008 over FY 2007.

Axis Bank provides commercial banking services, which include merchant banking, direct finance, infrastructure finance, venture capital fund, advisory, trusteeship, forex, treasury and other related financial services.

MIRC Electronics 10% upper circuit

MIRC Electronics hit 10% upper circuit at Rs 19.80 at 14:09 IST on BSE on reports chairman Gulu Mirchandani has agreeed to buy his dissenting brother Sonu Mirchandani’s one-third stake in investment firm Guviso, for Rs 111 crore.

The stock hit a high of Rs 19.80 and a low of Rs 18.60 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 41.85 on 2 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 15.50 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 14.2 crore. Face value per share is Rs 1.

The current price of Rs 19.80 discounts Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 2.5 by a PE multiple of 7.92.

Gulu will buy the 33.3% stake held by Sonu’s wife for about Rs 110 crore. The proposed deal will increase Gulu’s stake in the holding entity Guvisco from 27.77% to 61.07 %. Guvisco owns a 52.74% stake in MIRC, which manufactures the Onida brand of consumer goods. Onida has a share of 8-10% in the Rs 14,000-crore colour television market, which is growing at 10% every year.

The Mirchandanis’ brother-in-law, Vijay Mansukhani, will retain his 33% stake in Guvisco. Mansukhani was made managing director of the company last year, while Gulu retained the chairman’s post.

This caps the months-long dispute between the brothers over Sonu’s decision to exit and sell his stake to outsiders. Sonu was reportedly in talks with Videocon Industries and Future Group, amongs others, to sell his stake. Videocon had shown interest in the deal on condition that the promoters settle their internal differences.

The trigger for the dispute among siblings was Gulu’s decision to put his son Kaval in charge of the company’s plasma and LCD business without consulting Sonu reports added.

Banco Products in reverse gear on deferring buy back proposal

Banco Products India declined 7.49% to Rs 35.80 at 12:43 IST on BSE after its board decided to defer proposal for buy back of equity shares.

The stock hit a high of Rs 38.05 and a low of Rs 35 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 51.70 on 3 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 24.99 on 3 September 2007.

The company’s current equity is Rs 14.2 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 35.80 discounts its Q3 December 2007 annualised EPS of Rs 6.96, by a PE multiple of 5.14.

Banco Product India’s net profit rose 98.4% to Rs 12.36 crore on 20.8% growth in net sales to Rs 80.14 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

The company is engaged in manufacturing and selling automobile ancillaries. It manufactures gaskets and radiators, which are used in sealing and cooling applications in automotive and industrial engines.

Satyam Computers good Q4 numbers

Satyam Computer Services rose 1.71% to Rs 476.95 at 10:52 IST on BSE after reporting net profit rise of 17.84% to Rs 468.45 crore on growth in total income of 31.45% to Rs 2337.84 crore in Q4 March 2008 over Q4 March 2007.

The stock hit a high of Rs 488 and a low of Rs 473.50 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 522.30 on 24 July 2007 and a 52-week low of Rs 305 on 22 January 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 134.12 crore. Face value per share is Rs 2.

The current price of Rs 476.95 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 26.35, by a PE multiple of 18.1.

The company’s net profit rose 20.55% to Rs 1715.74 crore on 30.95% rise in total income to Rs 8394.48 crore in FY 2008 over FY 2007.

For FY 2009, under US GAAP, revenue is expected to rise between 24.0% to 26.0% to $2.65 billion and $ 2.69 billion in FY 2009 over FY 2008. Basic earning per American depository share (ADS) is expected to rise by 15.2% - 17.6% to $ 1.44 and $ 1.47, in FY 2009 over FY 2008, Satyam said.

Under Indian GAAP consolidated revenue is expected to rise by 23.9% and 25.9% to Rs 10,500 crore and Rs 10,670 crore, in FY 2009 over FY 2008. Earning per share (EPS) is expected to rise by 17% to 19%. To Rs 29.54 to Rs 30.04, in FY 2009 over FY 2008.

The company recommended a total dividend of 175% (Rs 3.50 per share on par value of Rs 2 per share), including interim dividend of 50% (Re 1 per share on par value of Rs 2 per share) for FY 2008.

The company provides information technology services, Internet services and develops software products.

SRF gains on buy back proposal

SRF gained 3.60% of Rs 133.80 at 9:55 IST on BSE after the company said on Thursday, 17 April 2008, it has scheduled a board meet on 25 April 2008 to consider buy back of equity shares.

The stock hit a high of Rs 134.90 and a low of Rs 131.50 so far during the day. The stock had a 52-week high of Rs 207.40 on 4 January 2008 and a 52-week low of Rs 90.50 on 24 March 2008.

The company’s current equity is Rs 67.89 crore. Face value per share is Rs 10.

The current price of Rs 133.80 discounts its Q3 December 2007 EPS of Rs 20.20, by a PE multiple of 6.62.

SRF’s net profit declined 51.1% to Rs 34.28 crore on 9.2% fall in net sales to Rs 408.81 crore in Q3 December 2007 over Q3 December 2006.

SRF is engaged in manufacturing nylon tyre cord fabric, industrial yarns, polyester films, belting and coated fabric, refrigerant gases and chloromethanes.

Post Market Commentary-21-April-08

Rally spills over to fifth consecutive trading session

The Indian stock market mirrored gains in global counterparts to posts decent rise, shrugging off a steep 50 basis points hike in cash reserve ratio (CRR) announced by the Reserve Bank of India late on Thursday, 17 April 2008. The market was closed on Friday, 18 April 2008, for a public holiday. With today’s gains, the market has now advanced for fifth straight day.

The unscheduled CRR rate hike comes ahead of RBI's annual credit policy for 2008-09 to be unveiled on 29 April 2008. The RBI joined the government in battling the skyrocketing inflation. The wholesale price index rose 7.14% in the 12 months to 5 April 2008, as per latest data. This was slower than the previous week's annual rise of 7.41%.

CRR is the amount of money banks have to keep with RBI as a percentage of their liabilities (deposits). CRR hike will be introduced in two stages. In the first stage, RBI will raise CRR by 25 basis points to 7.75% on 26 April 2008. Another 25 basis point hike will come into effect from 10 May 2008. As a result of the increase in CRR, about Rs 18,500 crore of' banks resources would be taken out of the system.

Asian markets, which opened before Indian markets, surged on hopes the worst was over for the banking sector, following the top US lender Citigroup’s announcement of a quarterly loss of $5.1 billion and plans to cut another 9,000 jobs.

The 30-share BSE Sensex was up 258.13 points or 1.57% at 16,739.33.

S&P CNX Nifty was up 78.60 points or 1.59% at 5,037

The market breadth was strong. Metal shares staged a strong comeback after the recent correction. Banking shares rose taking the hike in CRR in their stride. However IT pivotals retracted from day’s high hit in early trade on profit booking. They had logged handsome gains last week buoyed by encouraging guidance from IT bellwether Infosys Technoligies.

Sasken Communication Technology surged 32.62% to Rs 190.90 after its board approved a proposal for buyback of shares from open market at a price not exceeding Rs 260 per share for an aggregate amount of Rs 40 crore. The company made this announcement on Saturday, 19 April 2008.

short-selling, that is selling a stock that you do not own, and making profit when the price falls, will be allowed from today, 21 April 2008, following a new set of guidelines and procedures, for both institutional and retail investors. The new system provides for borrowing shares for a seven-day period and using them to settle the sale of shares within a T+2 (trading day + two days) deadline.

Initially, short-selling will be permitted only in 227 stocks that are also traded in the futures and options segment, where deals can be entered into for making transactions at a future date. Later, the stock exchanges may decide to extend short-selling to a larger universe of stocks.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Asit C Mehta initiates 'buy' on Asian Paints

16 Apr, 2008, 1816 hrs IST, INDIATIMES NEWS NETWORK

Asit C Mehta Investment Intermediates has initiated 'buy' on Asian Paints for target price of Rs 1,419 (implying a forward P/E multiple of 23x) on account of robust domestic demand for decorative paints. The brokerage expects the company to register a 3-year EPS CAGR of 28.2 per cent till FY10E. At CMP of Rs 1,200 the stock is trading at 25.0 times FY09E & 19.5 times FY10E earnings per share.

The company’s revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 18.5 per cent from Rs. 3,978.1 crore in FY07 to Rs. 6,627.04 crore in FY10E, mainly due to capactiy addition and better realisations.

In FY08E, the company was able to pass on the increase in the raw material cost which helped the company to sustain in its raw material cost as a percentage to net sale. Further, the increase in volume led to economies of scale resulting in better operating margins. Asian Paints’ net profit margins are in line with EBIDTA margins and are expected to grow at a 28.2 per cent CAGR from Rs 281.03 crore in FY07 to Rs. 591.64 crore in FY10E Hence EPS is expected to grow at a CAGR of 28.2 per cent from Rs 29.30 in FY07 to Rs. 61.7 in FY10E.

The paint industry is divided into organized and unorganized sector. The unorganized segment plays a huge role in decorative paint segment due to low technical know-how and highly scattered market. The organized segment constitutes 54 per cent of the total volume and 65 per cent of value of paints industry. Again the whole paints industry can be classified into decorative (75% of total industry size) and industrial paints (25% of total industry size).

The Indian Paint Industry grew by 18 per cent from Rs 9,500 crore in FY06 to Rs 11,200 crore in FY07. The industry has a positive correlation with GDP as both have same drivers for growth. Demand for paints is both, derived as well as direct. The demand for decorative paints is a direct demand whereas the demand for industrial paints is a derived demand.

Indian climatic conditions are not conducive for foreign formulations and modification cost in product formulation is quite high. As a result, imports are no threat to the Indian players. In case of industrial paints, most of the major players in the industry already have a tie-up with global players, for latest technology and markets accessible to them. It negates the further supply from the international markets even after reduction of import duty from 40 per cent to 15.3 per cent in last 8 years.

The paint industry is raw material intensive industry. It takes around 300 different raw materials to make paint, most of which are petroleum based. Titanium Dioxide is the largest consumed raw material for manufacture of paints. It constitutes around 30% of the total manufacturing cost. Besides Titanium Dioxide, there are other petroleum based raw materials which constitute 40-50 per cent of total raw material consumed. Hence any movement in crude oil prices will impact the profitability of the company.